XRP Price Flashes a Potential Bottom? Yet History Warns Against Early Optimism

XRP price has started showing early signs of stabilization after a sharp sell-off over the past 24 hours. The token recently broke down from its long-term falling channel and briefly slipped below its realized price, a level that reflects the average cost of all circulating coins. After dropping toward $1.11, XRP has rebounded toward the $1.30 area. On the surface, this looks like a strong bounce. In past cycles, similar conditions have appeared close to major turning points. However, historical data shows that XRP often spends long periods consolidating around these levels before a true recovery begins. Current on-chain and technical indicators suggest that while selling pressure is rising, the market may not have fully reset yet. Breakdown From the Falling Channel Pushes XRP Into a High-Risk Zone XRP’s decline accelerated between February 4 and February 6, when the price broke decisively below its falling channel. This channel had guided price lower since mid-2025, forming a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows. After losing the lower trendline support, XRP slid toward its projected downside zone near $0.93 and briefly touched $1.11. Although price has bounced since then, the broader structure remains weak. Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here. XRP Price Structure: TradingView Similar breakdowns in past cycles have rarely marked immediate bottoms and immediate recoveries. Realized Price History Shows Why This “Bottom Zone” Can Last for Years In mid-2022, XRP lost major support, the realized price line, and entered a prolonged bearish phase. After that breakdown, the price continued drifting lower and sideways for more than two years before the late-2024 rally began. This pattern shows that large structural breaks usually lead to long stabilization phases, not instant reversals. The current rebound toward $1.30 has not yet changed that pattern. During the recent sell-off, XRP briefly fell bel...